The AI Supercycle Collapse Scenario
I suddenly felt the urge, so I opened my laptop. This is a story I haven't been able to bring myself to tell until now—a raw, unfiltered piece. It’s a collection of worst-case scenarios that made me think, "Wait, something is off here," while I was writing articles. Written in one sitting, zero editing. I’m just going to write comfortably. Hyperscalers’ Debt-Fueled Investing: A Ticking Time Bomb Hyperscale capital expenditure (CapEx) was $357.5 billion last year. This year, it’s projected to reach $604.7 billion. In Korean Won, that’s 540 trillion and 911 trillion won, respectively. All of this astronomical amount of money is being poured into building data centers. They are dumping cash into erecting buildings, buying AI GPUs, DRAM, HBM, and energy storage systems (ESS), and laying down power equipment and cables. Their strategy is to go all-in right now and recoup everything later with AI. Next year’s CapEx estimate increases even further to between $900 billion and $1 ...